Showing posts with label LIVE. Show all posts
Showing posts with label LIVE. Show all posts

Monday, February 16, 2026

SPACE WEATHER TRACKING - LIVE REPORT FOR FEB 16, 2026 / THE SUN OPENED - What Does This Mean?

 

What is an Earth-facing Coronal Hole?

The “opening” also known as the coronal hole is simply a gap in the Sun’s magnetic field.

It's an area where the Sun’s magnetic field opens outward, allowing high-speed solar winds to escape into space. 

Why is NASA and NOAA Weather Tracking this Phenomenon? 

NASA, NOAA, and the European Space Agency tracks high-speed solar winds (400–800 km/s) that sometimes cause mild-moderate geomagnetic disturbances and disrupt radio and GPS transmissions. NASA post these images as part of their standard scientific reporting - similar to posts from the National Weather Service.

Comment: Unfortunately, few people are interested in space weather except during major disturbances. I found this post on X.com by Michael Bradbury, a space-weather hobbyist “SUN OPENED - 400,000 MILES ACROSS” on   https://x.com/MrMBB333 

Is there cause for alarm? No! The magnetic-effect can cause temporary radio interference and slight GPS drift. Therefore many satellite and aviation operators take precautions during times when higher than normal radiation levels are recorded in space (especially for astronauts).

What is Not Expected: Unlike the gloom and doom in popular apocalyptic movies - there will be no grid failure, internet collapse, cell service outages, or global disasters. This phenomenon is simply space-weather that NASA and NOAA reports all the time.

Current Official Space Weather Forecast (Current Version) - Monday, February 16, 2026 around 4:20 AM CST based on the latest NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) 3-day forecast data:

Date (UTC)       Expected Kp Index

Feb 16 00–03     ~4.67  (G1; Minor)

Feb 16 03–06     ~4.33

Feb 16 06–09     ~4.00

LevelKpSeverityPublic Impact
G15MinorNone
G26ModerateNone
G37StrongBeautiful auroras
G48SeverePossible outages

NOAA Geomagnetic Forecast Summary (Feb 14 – Feb 16, 2026) - Click Here to read the entire forecast:  

Expected geomagnetic activity (Kp index):

  • Feb 14: Mostly quiet to moderately active

  • Feb 15: Elevated activity with minor storm levels (G1) likely

  • Feb 16: Continued possibility of G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm conditions
    - with peak 3-hour Kp values near the G1 threshold (~4.7) around earlier parts of the day (UTC) and then trending lower later.

https://marine.weather.gov/product.php?format=CI&glossary=0&issuedby=TDF&product=DAY&site=MHX&version=5

Screenshot - solarflare.fr/live/ 2/16/2026

Explore the Sun like never before. Watch in Real-time HD images, automatically captured solar flares. Watch Live 
https://solarflare.fr/live/

Solar Flare Rating System (Earth-Facing)

Ratings” for Earth-facing refers to the official solar flare classification system used by NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center and NASA. Solar flares are rated by X-ray intensity:

  •  A-Class (Weakest level) - Barely detectable; and no impact on Earth.
  • B-Class - (Slightly Above Background) - No impact on Earth.
  • C-Class (Common Flares) - Small flares; minor effects on Earth’s ionosphere.   HF radio users may notice slight changes. They can be seen constantly during Solar Maximum.
  • M-Class (Moderate Flares) -  Earth-impacting class, they can cause radio blackouts at high latitudes, small geomagnetic effects, and proton flux increases. These are monitored closely from Earth-facing sunspots.
  • X-Class (Major Flares) - Strongest category, they can cause widespread HF radio blackouts, strong radiation storms, and major geomagnetic storms. Examples:  X1 = strong X2, x3, x4 and  X5 = powerful / X10+ = extreme

NOAA Space-Weather Forecast Tools - Watch space weather in real time, NOAA SWPC provides these live products:

Current Space Weather Conditions (R, S, G scale)
3-Day Geomagnetic Forecast
Aurora 30-minute Forecast
Solar Wind Data (ACE & DSCOVR)
Coronagraph and real-time solar imagery 

https://spaceweather.gov/products

Learn more about NOAA SWPC Real-Time Solar Images & Forecastshttps://www.swpc.noaa.gov

Listen to Live Space Weather on You Favorite Device... 

"Alexa - What's the Space Weather?" 

“Hey Google, Give Me the Latest Space Weather Report”“

"Hey Siri, What’s the Space Weather Today?”

Not Affiliated with Any Publisher, Weather or Governmental Agency... Some References Provide by ChatGPT...

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